Showing posts with label US economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US economy. Show all posts

US Economic Strategy- Collaborate with India to fill the Economic fallout with Latin America, Russia, China & Middle East

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The US economy is on the verge of coming out of multiyear downturn. The recent job and other reports are encouraging and it is expected the Fed will increase the interest rate again in coming months. In order to maintain its growth especially in election year, US government is trying hard to ensure that corporate win International contract. In US there are lots of resentment within the locals that Foreign companies are taking out local job and it impacted the government image as they failed to control that which they promised during last presidential election.

At the same time; US is alsofacing tough situation in their bilateral relationship with Russia, China andMiddle East. The US initiated initiative to impose International sanction against Russia is hurting more the US based companies compared to Russian establishment given their strong relationship with third world countries.

With China, US is at loggerhead due to South China Sea issue. Blame game is at the peak. Chinese got very cautious about US movement in South China Sea and it is turning into flash point and ofcourse in due course it will start to show the impact on US economy as US government will slow down their dependency on China to procure low cost product and now focusing hard to re-established their own manufacturing hub.



In my point of view, US main trading partners are based out of Middle East region and their US is bleeding their taxpayer $ to safeguard countries with their interest. Saudi Arabia economy is in shamble due to their engagement in Yemen, low oil price and higher cost on social welfare scheme. It impacted Saudi Arabia government to go for the free hand based new technology to other infrastructure upgrade. At the same time; major unrest in Iraq and Syria impacted the neighboring countries will to spend more on new initiatives.

Most of the counties in LatinAmerica is struggling with their depreciating currencies to major slowdown in economy along with political unrest in some of the countries.



Given the above environment, US wasted no time to extend its arm towards India with clear approach of tapping Indian marketplace as well as rebalance its strategic positioning in Asia Subcontinent. Once the reluctant US while offering India any warfare system to any other technology is now changed their approach while dealing with India. Post Honorable Prime minister of India initiative of "Make in India"; US companies through their government diplomatic channel is offering to setup manufacturing hub in India that include the technology transfer covering all sector to grab the much needed business in India. 

Indian government recent decision to modernize infrastructure to Smart cities to Railways to Defence itself is more than $300 Bn business opportunity for next 8 to 10 years. In the mean time; China proximity with Pakistan also prompted US to come closer to India to neutralize China growing clout. Given the above circumstances, Indian Honorable Prime minister with his master strategic move wasted no time and attracted the leaders of most of the countries on the discussion table and trying hard to bring in investment which India needed the most at this point of time.

Alcoa Inc. Earning Report Transcript On 11th July 2016 - Indication Of Economic State & Great Investment Opportunity

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Alcoa Inc is going to start the US earning season kickoff and will indicate the state of economy. For the last 2 year, company is facing dwindling earning due to glut in Aluminum market price and lackluster demand from key sectors like auto and aerospace.

The share price of $9.9 is very attractive entry point for the value investor and investor may require to be invested for next 3 to 4 quarter to reap in the solid return.

The replacement market trend indicates the revival of replacement cycle which will push the price of commodity to a level which will add to company EBITA.

The base of the company is very strong with very entrenched reach within the auto and aerospace industry. The expected upturn of auto and aerospace industry post the slow and steady recovery of US economy will act as fuel for the organization. Its advisable to invest before they release their result post the trading day of 11th July 2016.

Disclaimer - Consult your financial consultant before investing

Microsoft Acquisition Of Linkedin - Direct Acquisition Of Creamy Layer User's

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Few days back, I wrote an article titled "LinkedIn as undisputed king of Professional world" Came true as Microsoft took a bold step to acquire LinkedIn with phenomenal 49% premium to their current share price. I was reading article floating here and there that Microsoft paid extra for the LinkedIn and is it possible for them to recoup their Investment and RoI. Many analyst started talking about Microsoft failed acquisition in the past and I can understand that its always easy to find out the negative approach in any acquisition.

My take on the acquisition are as follows:

It clearly indicate that US based companies are getting confident about the US economy and M&A is on the rise. The case is also supported with another tech acquisition of Blue Coat by Symantec.


When Facebook paid huge premium to Whatsapp then every appreciated because that it was having userbase at the same level as LinkedIn is having without any monetization plan. My query to all that, Why Facebook paid $19 Plus billion for Whatsapp. We don't have an answer but they played with the user usages pattern and accordingly populate the advertisement on user facebook to make more money through advertisement. We all observed huge growth in Facebook advertisement business and infact without advertisement revenue Facebook is nothing.


Google attempted to suppress most of the organization through their Android ecosystem and made it mandatory to have 30 different type of Google services and making Billions of $ in revenue as well as imposed their browser too. They are also using BI and AI to populate advertisement platform and we all know the size of their advertisement business.


The most interesting move of Microsoft is their tactical business move to cloud and mobility based focused on dynamic service. We must agree that their Skype acquisition started showing positive result and millions of users are getting attracted towards the robust service. Recently, I observed that they started monetizing Skype through advertisement business and very soon it will be major contributor to their overall revenue with very high EBITA.

The acquisition of LinkedIn with 440 Million plus userbase, around $4Bn Revenue with positive operating cash flow will enable Microsoft to make the organization profitable quickly through synergy.

The competitor of  Microsoft in the B2C segment should be ready to face the new unmatched product with Skype attached LinkedIn Service and It may Challenge YouTube in the field of professional world.


LinkedIn additional assets SlideShare can be additional assets for Microsoft to integrate with their Window operating system or convert it as another product MS office Suite.

Regarding the offer price, based on the result, LinkedIn balance sheet is having $3.2 billion of cash and marketable securities and acquisition is inclusive of cash means the actual payout is around $23 Billion. 

In my point of view, Microsoft will come out very fast with multiple Product line which will have Skype plus LinkedIn and one should not be surprised that it goes mobile in big way